We have located links that may give you full text access.
Predicting 5-year dementia conversion in veterans with mild cognitive impairment.
INTRODUCTION: Identifying mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients at risk for dementia could facilitate early interventions. Using electronic health records (EHRs), we developed a model to predict MCI to all-cause dementia (ACD) conversion at 5 years.
METHODS: Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify predictors of ACD conversion from EHR data in veterans with MCI. Model performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] and Brier score) was evaluated on a held-out data subset.
RESULTS: Of 59,782 MCI patients, 15,420 (25.8%) converted to ACD. The model had good discriminative performance (AUC 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.74]), and calibration (Brier score 0.18 [95% CI 0.17-0.18]). Age, stroke, cerebrovascular disease, myocardial infarction, hypertension, and diabetes were risk factors, while body mass index, alcohol abuse, and sleep apnea were protective factors.
DISCUSSION: EHR-based prediction model had good performance in identifying 5-year MCI to ACD conversion and has potential to assist triaging of at-risk patients.
HIGHLIGHTS: Of 59,782 veterans with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), 15,420 (25.8%) converted to all-cause dementia within 5 years.Electronic health record prediction models demonstrated good performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.73; Brier 0.18).Age and vascular-related morbidities were predictors of dementia conversion.Synthetic data was comparable to real data in modeling MCI to dementia conversion.
KEY POINTS: An electronic health record-based model using demographic and co-morbidity data had good performance in identifying veterans who convert from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to all-cause dementia (ACD) within 5 years.Increased age, stroke, cerebrovascular disease, myocardial infarction, hypertension, and diabetes were risk factors for 5-year conversion from MCI to ACD.High body mass index, alcohol abuse, and sleep apnea were protective factors for 5-year conversion from MCI to ACD.Models using synthetic data, analogs of real patient data that retain the distribution, density, and covariance between variables of real patient data but are not attributable to any specific patient, performed just as well as models using real patient data. This could have significant implications in facilitating widely distributed computing of health-care data with minimized patient privacy concern that could accelerate scientific discoveries.
METHODS: Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify predictors of ACD conversion from EHR data in veterans with MCI. Model performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] and Brier score) was evaluated on a held-out data subset.
RESULTS: Of 59,782 MCI patients, 15,420 (25.8%) converted to ACD. The model had good discriminative performance (AUC 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.74]), and calibration (Brier score 0.18 [95% CI 0.17-0.18]). Age, stroke, cerebrovascular disease, myocardial infarction, hypertension, and diabetes were risk factors, while body mass index, alcohol abuse, and sleep apnea were protective factors.
DISCUSSION: EHR-based prediction model had good performance in identifying 5-year MCI to ACD conversion and has potential to assist triaging of at-risk patients.
HIGHLIGHTS: Of 59,782 veterans with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), 15,420 (25.8%) converted to all-cause dementia within 5 years.Electronic health record prediction models demonstrated good performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.73; Brier 0.18).Age and vascular-related morbidities were predictors of dementia conversion.Synthetic data was comparable to real data in modeling MCI to dementia conversion.
KEY POINTS: An electronic health record-based model using demographic and co-morbidity data had good performance in identifying veterans who convert from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to all-cause dementia (ACD) within 5 years.Increased age, stroke, cerebrovascular disease, myocardial infarction, hypertension, and diabetes were risk factors for 5-year conversion from MCI to ACD.High body mass index, alcohol abuse, and sleep apnea were protective factors for 5-year conversion from MCI to ACD.Models using synthetic data, analogs of real patient data that retain the distribution, density, and covariance between variables of real patient data but are not attributable to any specific patient, performed just as well as models using real patient data. This could have significant implications in facilitating widely distributed computing of health-care data with minimized patient privacy concern that could accelerate scientific discoveries.
Full text links
Related Resources
Trending Papers
British Society of Gastroenterology guidelines for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma in adults.Gut 2024 April 17
Systemic lupus erythematosus.Lancet 2024 April 18
Should renin-angiotensin system inhibitors be held prior to major surgery?British Journal of Anaesthesia 2024 May
Ventilator Waveforms May Give Clues to Expiratory Muscle Activity.American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 2024 April 25
Acute Kidney Injury and Electrolyte Imbalances Caused by Dapagliflozin Short-Term Use.Pharmaceuticals 2024 March 27
Colorectal polypectomy and endoscopic mucosal resection: European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE) Guideline - Update 2024.Endoscopy 2024 April 27
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app
All material on this website is protected by copyright, Copyright © 1994-2024 by WebMD LLC.
This website also contains material copyrighted by 3rd parties.
By using this service, you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy.
Your Privacy Choices
You can now claim free CME credits for this literature searchClaim now
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app