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Incremental Role of New York Heart Association Class and Cardiopulmonary Exercise Test Indices for Prognostication in Heart Failure: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Central Illustration : Incremental Role of New York Heart Association Class and Cardiopulmonary Exercise Test Indices for Prognostication in Heart Failure: A Cohort Study LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; NYHA: New York Heart Association; VO 2: oxygen consumption.

BACKGROUND: The accuracy of the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification to assess prognosis may be limited compared with objective cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) parameters in heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of the NYHA classification in addition to Weber class.

METHODS: Adult outpatients with HF undergoing CPET in a Brazilian tertiary care center were included. The physician-assigned NYHA class and the CPET-derived Weber class were stratified into "favorable" (NYHA I or II; Weber A or B) or "adverse" (NYHA III or IV; Weber C or D). Patients with one favorable class and one adverse class were defined as "discordant." The primary endpoint was time to all-cause mortality. A 2-sided p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: A total of 834 patients were included. Median age was 57 years; 42% (351) were female, and median left ventricular ejection fraction was 32%. Among patients with concordant NYHA and Weber classes, those with adverse NYHA and Weber classes had significantly higher all-cause mortality compared to those with favorable classes (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.65; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.38 to 9.42). Among patients with discordant classes, there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 0.82 to 2.34). In the multivariable model, increments in NYHA class (HR: 1.55 per class increase; 95% CI: 1.26 to 1.92) and reductions in peak VO 2 (HR: 1.47 per 3 ml/kg/min decrease; 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.70) significantly predicted mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: Physician-assigned NYHA class and objective CPET measures provide complementary prognostic information for patients with HF.

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