Cardiovascular Event Predictors in Hospitalized Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Patients: A Nationwide Inpatient Sample Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: This study seeks to confirm the risk factors linked to cardiovascular (CV) events in chronic kidney disease (CKD), which have been identified as CKD-related. We aim to achieve this using a larger, more diverse, and nationally representative dataset, contrasting with previous research conducted on smaller patient cohorts.

METHODS:  The study utilized the nationwide inpatient sample database to identify adult hospitalizations for CKD from 2016 to 2020, employing validated ICD-10-CM/PCS codes. A comprehensive literature review was conducted to identify both traditional and CKD-specific risk factors associated with CV events. Risk factors and CV events were defined using a combination of ICD-10-CM/PCS codes and statistical commands. Only risk factors with specific ICD-10 codes and hospitalizations with complete data were included in the study. CV events of interest included cardiac arrhythmias, sudden cardiac death, acute heart failure, and acute coronary syndromes. Univariate and multivariate regression models were employed to evaluate the association between CKD-specific risk factors and CV events while adjusting for the impact of traditional CV risk factors such as old age, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, inactivity, and smoking.

RESULTS:  A total of 690,375 hospitalizations for CKD were included in the analysis. The study population was predominantly male (375,564, 54.4%) and mostly hospitalized at urban teaching hospitals (512,258, 74.2%). The mean age of the study population was 61 years (SD 0.1), and 86.7% (598,555) had a Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) of 3 or more. At least one traditional risk factor for CV events was present in 84.1% of all CKD hospitalizations (580,605), while 65.4% (451,505) included at least one CKD-specific risk factor for CV events. The incidence of CV events in the study was as follows: acute coronary syndromes (41,422; 6%), sudden cardiac death (13,807; 2%), heart failure (404,560; 58.6%), and cardiac arrhythmias (124,267; 18%). A total of 91.7% (113,912) of all cardiac arrhythmias were atrial fibrillations. Significant odds of CV events on multivariate analyses included: malnutrition (aOR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.06-1.13; p<0.001), post-dialytic hypotension (aOR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.26-1.42; p<0.001), thrombophilia (aOR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.29-1.65; p<0.001), sleep disorder (aOR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.09-1.25; p<0.001), and post-renal transplant immunosuppressive therapy (aOR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.26-1.53; p<0.001).

CONCLUSION: The study confirmed the predictive reliability of malnutrition, post-dialytic hypotension, thrombophilia, sleep disorders, and post-renal transplant immunosuppressive therapy, highlighting their association with increased risk for CV events in CKD patients. No significant association was observed between uremic syndrome, hyperhomocysteinemia, hyperuricemia, hypertriglyceridemia, leptin levels, carnitine deficiency, anemia, and the odds of experiencing CV events.