Short- versus long-term tests of indoor radon for risk assessment by Monte-Carlo method towards effective measurement strategy.

There now exists a broad consensus among the European radon community members that long-term measurements are the best practice in managing the risk of indoor radon exposure. This, not with standing the fact that <1% of buildings have been tested in Europe so far. At the same time, US' experience over the years shows more effective regulation has been accomplished through tests that are short-term. This study quantifies the uncertainty of collective risks obtained independently through short- and long-term measurements under the same conditions using the Monte Carlo method that takes into account the number of measurements, as well as the diversity of the spatial distribution of radon concentrations in representative samples of buildings. Simulation results have shown that contrary to the erroneous practice of the European radon community, the accuracy of the assessment of the collective risk due to radon exposure does not in fact depend on the duration of the indoor test at all. The main problem remains ensuring the existance of a representative sample of buildings, especially given limited number of tests. In this regard, recommended is a revision of the regulatory documents of IAEA, ICRP, WHO, and ISO focusing on (i) the principle of the effective measurement strategy based on rational ISO/IEC concepts, (ii) the mass measurements via short-term tests, and (iii) the societal engagement in measurements.