Development of a breast cancer prognostic model based on vesicle-mediated transport-related genes to predict immune landscape and clinical drug therapy.

BACKGROUND: Vesicle-mediated transport, vital for substance exchange and intercellular communication, is linked to tumor initiation and progression. This work was designed to study the role of vesicle-mediated transport-related genes (VMTRGs) in breast cancer (BC)prognosis.

METHODS: Univariate Cox analysis was utilized to screen prognosis-related VMTRGs. BC samples underwent unsupervised clustering based on VMTRGs to analyze survival, clinical factors, and immune cell abundance across different subtypes. We constructed a risk model using univariate Cox and LASSO regression analysis, with validation conducted using GEO datasets. Subsequently, we performed tumor mutational burden analysis, and immune landscape analysis on both groups. Ultimately, we conducted immunophenoscore (IPS) scoring to forecast immunotherapy and performed drug sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS: We identified 102 VMTRGs associated with BC prognosis. Using these 102 VMTRGs, BC patients were classified into 3 subtypes, with Cluster3 patients showing significantly better survival rates. We constructed a prognostic model for BC based on 12 VMTRGs that effectively predicted patient survival. Riskscore was an independent prognostic factor for BC patients. According to median risk score, high-risk group (HRG) had higher TMB values. The immune landscape of the HRG exhibited characteristics of cold tumor, with higher immune checkpoint expression levels and lower IPS scores, whereas Gemcitabine, Nilotinib, and Oxaliplatin were more suitable for treating low-risk group.

CONCLUSION: We classified BC subtypes and built a prognostic model based on VMTRGs. The genes in the prognostic model may serve as potential targets for BC therapy.