Impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of ischemic stroke in patients on hemodialysis: BOREAS-HD3 Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an established risk factor for ischemic stroke in a general population. However, its impact in patients on hemodialysis (HD), a group with a high risk for stroke, is still controversial. Here we examined this issue in a Japanese cohort.

METHODS: This study was designed as a multicenter cohort study. HD patients (n = 1,067) were enrolled from 22 institutes in January 2009 and followed up for 3 years. Patients with missing data (n = 196) or kidney transplantation (n = 4) were excluded, and 867 patients contributed to the analysis of the risk of new-onset of ischemic stroke.

RESULTS: At baseline, AF was observed in 123 patients (14.2%, AF group) and not in the others (n = 744: 85.8%, non-AF group). During a follow-up period of 31.3 months, the cumulative incidence rate for ischemic stroke was significantly higher in the AF group than in the non-AF group (6.5% vs. 2.9%, p < 0.05). In Cox regression analysis, AF was a significant independent risk factor for new-onset of ischemic stroke after adjustment for age, sex, prior history of ischemic stroke, use of warfarin, dialysis vintage, comorbidity of diabetic nephropathy, and interdialytic weight gain (hazard ratio 2.17-2.68).

CONCLUSION: Present analyses using comprehensive adjustment for multiple confounders, including prior history of ischemic stroke, indicated that AF independently increases the risk of new-onset of ischemic stroke by more than twofold in Japanese HD patients.