A nomogram based on the quantitative and qualitative features of CT imaging for the prediction of the invasiveness of ground glass nodules in lung adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: Based on the quantitative and qualitative features of CT imaging, a model for predicting the invasiveness of ground-glass nodules (GGNs) was constructed, which could provide a reference value for preoperative planning of GGN patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Altogether, 702 patients with GGNs (including 748 GGNs) were included in this study. The GGNs operated between September 2020 and July 2022 were classified into the training group (n = 555), and those operated between August 2022 and November 2022 were classified into the validation group (n = 193). Clinical data and the quantitative and qualitative features of CT imaging were harvested from these patients. In the training group, the quantitative and qualitative characteristics in CT imaging of GGNs were analyzed by using performing univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, followed by constructing a nomogram prediction model. The differentiation, calibration, and clinical practicability in both the training and validation groups were assessed by the nomogram models.

RESULTS: In the training group, multivariate logistic regression analysis disclosed that the maximum diameter (OR = 4.707, 95%CI: 2.06-10.758), consolidation/tumor ratio (CTR) (OR = 1.027, 95%CI: 1.011-1.043), maximum CT value (OR = 1.025, 95%CI: 1.004-1.047), mean CT value (OR = 1.035, 95%CI: 1.008-1.063; P = 0.012), spiculation sign (OR = 2.055, 95%CI: 1.148-3.679), and vascular convergence sign (OR = 2.508, 95%CI: 1.345-4.676) were independent risk parameters for invasive adenocarcinoma. Based on these findings, we established a nomogram model for predicting the invasiveness of GGN, and the AUC was 0.910 (95%CI: 0.885-0.934) and 0.902 (95%CI: 0.859-0.944) in the training group and the validation group, respectively. The internal validation of the Bootstrap method showed an AUC value of 0.905, indicating a good differentiation of the model. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test for the training and validation groups indicated that the model had a good fitting effect (P > 0.05). Furthermore, the calibration curve and decision analysis curve of the training and validation groups reflected that the model had a good calibration degree and clinical practicability.

CONCLUSION: Combined with the quantitative and qualitative features of CT imaging, a nomogram prediction model can be created to forecast the invasiveness of GGNs. This model has good prediction efficacy for the invasiveness of GGNs and can provide help for the clinical management and decision-making of GGNs.