Effect of myocardial scar size on the risk of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with chronic Total coronary occlusion.

BACKGROUND: The presence of an untreated chronic total coronary occlusion (CTO) is associated with a higher risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). This increased risk may be modulated by the presence of an existing scar.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether scar size is associated with VA in patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) and a CTO.

METHODS: In this retrospective study we included patients with a CTO that received an ICD between 2005 and 2015. Scar size was estimated using the Selvester QRS score on a baseline 12‑lead ECG. The primary endpoint was any appropriate ICD therapy.

RESULTS: Our study population comprised 148 CTO patients with a median scar size at baseline of 18% (IQR, 9-27%). Patients with a scar size ≥18% more often had a CTO located in the left anterior descending artery and a higher proportion of poor left ventricular function (<35%) and infarct-related CTO compared to patients with a smaller scar size (<18%). During a median follow-up of 35 months (interquartile range [IQR], 8-60 months), 42 patients (28%) received appropriate ICD therapy. The cumulative 5-year event rate was higher in the patients with a large scar in comparison to those with a smaller or no scar (36% versus 19%, P = 0.04). Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that large scar and diabetes mellitus were independent factors associated with appropriate ICD therapy.

CONCLUSION: In ICD recipients with an untreated CTO, a larger scar is an independent factor associated with an increased risk of VA.