Prediction of Recurrent Lateral Ankle Sprain and Ankle Pain Using Applied Care Strategies and Patient-Reported Outcomes.

CONTEXT: Lateral ankle sprain (LAS) patients often have deficient patient-reported outcomes (PROs) at return-to-activity (RTA), potentially increasing risk for recurrent LAS and ankle pain. Additionally, applied care strategies are known to correct impairments, but their ability to mitigate risk for long-term consequences remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if applied care strategies and PRO scores at RTA and 6-months post-RTA predict recurrent LAS and ankle pain 12 months after an acute LAS.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.

SETTING: Online survey.

PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS: We enrolled 63 individuals within one week of sustaining an acute LAS.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Participants completed online surveys about their health history and recent LAS. At RTA and 6 months post-RTA, participants completed online surveys regarding demographics, applied care strategies, and patient reported outcomes (PROs): Foot and Ankle Disability Index, Identification of Functional Ankle Instability, Godin Leisure-Time Exercise Questionnaire, Short Form-8. At 12 months post-RTA, we asked participants if they sustained recurrent LAS. Chi-squares determined if recurrent LAS and ankle pain at 12-months were related to applied care strategies or ankle pain at RTA. Independent t-tests compared demographics and PROs at RTA and 6-months between participants with and without a recurrent LAS or ankle pain at 12-months. Logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) analyses determined if demographics, applied care strategies, ankle pain at RTA, and PRO scores at RTA and 6-months predicted recurrent LAS and ankle pain at 12-months.

RESULTS: Participants with a recurrent LAS had a lower walking boot use (P=0.05) and were taller than those without (P=0.03). Increased height and lack of walking boot use were predictive of recurrent LAS (P<0.01, R2=0.33, AUROC=0.81[0.68, 0.95]).

CONCLUSIONS: LAS patients who are taller and do not use a walking boot might have greater risk for a recurrent LAS withing 12 months of RTA.