Premenstrual Disorders, Timing of Menopause, and Severity of Vasomotor Symptoms.

IMPORTANCE: Although premenstrual disorders (PMDs) end at menopause, it is unclear whether they are associated with the timing and symptom severity of menopause.

OBJECTIVE: To prospectively examine whether women with PMDs have increased risks of early menopause and menopause-related vasomotor symptoms (VMS).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based cohort study was nested in the Nurses' Health Study II (data collected from questionnaire sent between June 1991 and June 2017). Analysis of menopause timing included participants who did not have natural or surgical menopause before study entry, while the analysis of VMS was restricted to women who provided information on VMS. Data were analyzed from August 2022 to March 2023.

EXPOSURES: PMDs were identified by self-reported diagnosis and confirmed with symptom questionnaires from 1991 to 2005. Participants were age-matched to women without PMD diagnoses and confirmed absence of or minimal premenstrual symptoms.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: During follow-up through 2017, timing of natural menopause was assessed biennially, and VMS were assessed in 2009, 2013, and 2017. The association of PMDs with early menopause was assessed by Cox proportional hazards models and with VMS by logistic regression models.

RESULTS: Of 1220 included women with PMDs, the median (IQR) age was 40.7 (37.3-43.8) years; of 2415 included women without PMDs, the median (IQR) age was 41.7 (38.3-44.8) years. The median (IQR) follow-up in this study was 20.3 (17.8-22-2) years. Early natural menopause (menopause before age 45 years) was reported by 17 women with PMDs (7.1 per 1000 person-years) and 12 women without PMDs (2.7 per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.27-5.59). In addition, 795 women with PMDs (68.3%) and 1313 women without PMDs (55.3%) reported moderate or severe VMS (adjusted odds ratio, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.32-2.14). There was no observed association between PMDs and mild VMS (adjusted odds ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.76-1.28).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of US women, PMDs were associated with increased risks of early menopause and moderate or severe VMS. PMDs may be indicative of underlying physiology linked to early menopause and VMS, suggesting a phenotype observable during the reproductive years that may allow clinicians to target women at risk of earlier menopause and subsequent health risks later in the life course.