Risk evaluation of carbapenem-induced liver injury based on machine learning analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Information regarding carbapenem-induced liver injury is limited, and the rate of liver injury caused by meropenem (MEPM) and doripenem (DRPM) remains unknown. Decision tree (DT) analysis, a machine learning method, has a flowchart-like model where users can easily predict the risk of liver injury. Thus, we aimed to compare the rate of liver injury between MEPM and DRPM and construct a flowchart that can be used to predict carbapenem-induced liver injury.

METHODS: We investigated patients treated with MEPM (n = 310) or DRPM (n = 320) and confirmed liver injury as the primary outcome. We used a chi-square automatic interaction detection algorithm to construct DT models. The dependent variable was set as liver injury from a carbapenem (MEPM or DRPM), and factors including alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, and concomitant use of acetaminophen were used as explanatory variables.

RESULTS: The rates of liver injury were 22.9% (71/310) and 17.5% (56/320) in the MEPM and DRPM groups, respectively; no significant differences in the rate were observed (95% confidence interval: 0.710-1.017). Although the DT model of MEPM could not be constructed, DT analysis showed that the incidence of introducing DRPM in patients with ALT >22 IU/L and ALBI scores > -1.87 might be high-risk.

CONCLUSIONS: The risk of developing liver injury did not differ significantly between the MEPM and DRPM groups. Since ALT and ALBI score are evaluated in clinical settings, this DT model is convenient and potentially useful for medical staff in assessing liver injury before DRPM administration.