Risk factors and pathogen characteristics associated with unfavorable outcomes among adults with pneumococcal meningitis in Japan, 2006 to 2016.

PURPOSE: In this study, we aimed to clarify the risk factors associated with unfavorable outcomes in adults with pneumococcal meningitis (PnM).

METHODS: Surveillance was conducted between 2006 and 2016. Adults with PnM (n = 268) were followed up for outcomes within 28 days after admission using the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). After classifying the patients into the unfavorable (GOS1-4) and favorable (GOS5) outcome groups, i) the underlying diseases, ii) biomarkers at admission, and iii) serotype, genotype, and antimicrobial susceptibility for all isolates were compared between both groups.

RESULTS: Overall, 58.6% of patients with PnM survived,15.3% died, and 26.1% had sequelae. The number of living days in the GOS1 group was highly heterogeneous. Motor dysfunction, disturbance of consciousness, and hearing loss were the commonest sequelae. Of the underlying diseases identified in 68.9% of the PnM patients, liver and kidney diseases were significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes. Of the biomarkers, creatinine and blood urea nitrogen, followed by platelet and C-reactive protein had the most significant associations with unfavorable outcomes. There was a significant difference in the high protein concentrations in the cerebrospinal fluid between the groups. Serotypes 23F, 6C, 4, 23A, 22F, 10A, and 12F were associated with unfavorable outcomes. These serotypes were not penicillin-resistant isolates possessing three abnormal pbp genes (pbp1a, 2x, and 2b), except for 23F. The expected coverage rate of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was 50.7% for PCV15 and 72.4% for PCV20.

CONCLUSIONS: In the introduction of PCV for adults, the risk factors for underlying diseases should be prioritized over age, and serotypes with unfavorable outcomes should be considered.