Prognostic value of major pathological response following neoadjuvant therapy for non resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of major pathological response on overall survival (OS) in borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma following neoadjuvant treatment, and to identify predictors of major pathological response.

METHODS: Patients surgically resected following neoadjuvant treatment between 2010 and 2020 at the Pederzoli Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Pathologic response was assessed using the College of American Pathologists (CAP) score, and major pathological response was defined as CAP 0-1. OS was estimated and compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. A logistic and Cox regression model were performed to identify predictors of major pathologic response and OS.

RESULTS: Overall, 200 patients were included in the study. A major and complete pathological response were observed in 52(26.0%) and 15(7.3%) patients respectively. The 1-, 3-, 5-year OS was 92.7, 67.2, and 41.7%, and 71.0, 37.4, and 20.8% in patients with or without major pathologic response respectively (log-rank test p < 0.001). Major pathologic response was confirmed as independent predictor of OS (OR 0.50 95%CI 0.29-0.88, p = 0.01). Post-treatment CA19-9 normalization (OR 4.20 95%CI 1.14-10.35, p = 0.02) and radiological post-treatment tumor residual size<25 mm (OR 2.71 95%CI 1.27-5.79, p = 0.01) were found to be independent predictors of major pathologic response.

CONCLUSION: Patients experienced a major pathological response after neoadjuvant treatment have an increased survival, and major pathologic response is an independent predictor of OS. A normal CA19-9 value and radiological tumor size at restaging are confirmed to be independent predictors of major pathologic response.