Inflammation-based prognostic scoring system for predicting the prognosis of advanced small cell lung cancer patients receiving anlotinib monotherapy.

BACKGROUND: According to the randomized multicenter phase II trial (ALTER1202), anlotinib has been approved as a third-line therapy for advanced small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). Some studies showed the predictive function of inflammatory markers, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in the different cancers treated with anti-vascular targeting drugs. However, none of the studies showed the roles of NLR, PLR, and LMR in SCLC patients receiving anlotinib. Thus, our objective was to establish a scoring system based on inflammation to individuate patient stratification and selection based on NLR, PLR, and LMR.

METHODS: NLR, PLR, and LMR and their variations were calculated in 53 advanced SCLC patients receiving anlotinib as a third- or further-line treatment at Ningbo Medical Center Lihuili Hospital between January 2019 and December 2021. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regressions were used to identify predictors of survival.

RESULTS: Disease control rate was related to pre-NLR, pre-PLR, pre-LMR, post-NLR elevation, post-PLR elevation, and post-LMR elevation. The multivariate analysis determined post-NLR elevation, pre-PLR > 240.56, and pre-LMR ≤1.61 to be independently associated with progression-free survival, not overall survival. The inflammation-based prognostic scoring system demonstrated favorable predictive ability from the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC: 0.791, 95% CI: 0.645-0.938).

CONCLUSIONS: Post-NLR variation, pre-PLR, and pre-LMR were independent prognostic factors for PFS in advanced SCLC receiving anlotinib monotherapy. The inflammation-based prognostic scoring system can accurately predict effectiveness and survival.