Risk prediction of major haemorrhage with surgical treatment of live cesarean scar pregnancies.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between demographic and ultrasound variables and major intra-operative blood loss during surgical transcervical evacuation of live caesarean scar pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted in a tertiary referral center between 2008 and 2019. We included all women diagnosed with a live caesarean scar ectopic pregnancy who chose to have surgical management in the study center. A preoperative ultrasound was performed in each patient. All women underwent transcervical suction curettage under ultrasound guidance. Our primary outcome was the rate of postoperative blood transfusion. The secondary outcomes were estimated intra-operative blood loss (ml), rate of retained products of conception, need for repeat surgery, need for uterine artery embolization and hysterectomy rate. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the variables. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression models were constructed using the relevant covariates to identify the significant predictors for severe blood loss.

RESULTS: During the study period, 80 women were diagnosed with a live caesarean scar pregnancy, of whom 62 (78%) opted for surgical management at our center. The median crown-rump length was 9.3 mm (range 1.4-85.7). Median blood loss at the time of surgery was 100 ml (range, 10-2300), and six women (10%; 95%CI 3.6-20) required blood transfusion. Crown-rump length and presence of placental lacunae were significant predictive factors for the need for blood transfusion and blood loss > 500 ml at univariate analysis (p < .01); on multivariate analysis, only crown-rump length was a significant predictor for need for blood transfusion (OR = 1.072; 95% CI 1.02-1.11). Blood transfusion was required in 6/18 (33%) cases with the crown-rump length ≥ 23 mm (≥9+0 weeks of gestation), but in none of 44 women presenting with a crown-rump length < 23 mm (p < .01).

CONCLUSION: The risk of severe intraoperative bleeding and need for blood transfusion during or after surgical evacuation of live caesarean scar pregnancies increases with gestational age and is higher in the presence of placental lacunae. One third of women presenting at ≥ 9 weeks of gestation required blood transfusion and their treatment should be ideally arranged in specialized tertiary centers.