[Clinical analysis and prognosis factors of malignancy in the patients with mucinous cystic neoplasms of the pancreas].

Objective: To examine clinic pathological features of mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) of the pancreas and explore the prognosis factors associated with malignant transformation of MCN of the pancreas. Methods: This multicenter retrospective study included all patients with pancreatic MCN underwent surgery at Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University between January 2008 and December 2018 and patients with MCN who confirmed by postoperative pathology from Multicenter Pancreatic Cystic Tumor Database. There were 50 males (14.4%) and 297 females (85.6%) and the mean age was 48.6 years (range: 24-77 years). According to the pathological results, all patients were divided into benign lesion group (including MCN and which associated with low/medium grade dysplasia) and malignant lesion group (including MCN with high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) . The preoperative clinical pathology and imaging features of the two groups were analyzed, and the risk factors associated with malignant transformation of MCN were statistically analyzed. Results: This multicenter retrospective study included 347 patients. Twenty-four of the 347 patients were malignant, including 7 males and 17 females. Univariate analysis showed that age, gender, carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) , CA19-9, CA125, tumor maximum diameter, and tumor location were remarkably different in the two groups ( P< 0.05) . Logistic regression analysis found that the preoperative tumor maximum diameter ( OR= 1.023, 95 % CI : 1.002-1.045, P= 0.035) was an independent risk factor for MCN malignant transformation. Conclusions: Age, gender, CEA, CA19-9, CA125, tumor maximum diameter, and tumor location are important features of MCN malignant lesions.The maximum diameter of the preoperative tumor is an independent risk factor for MCN malignant transformation.