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Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
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Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.

Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Simon Cauchemez, Xiaoke Xu, Xianwen Wang, Benjamin J Cowling, Lauren Ancel Meyers
Emerging Infectious Diseases 2020 May
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.

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