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Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

Peng Wu, Xinxin Hao, Eric H Y Lau, Jessica Y Wong, Kathy S M Leung, Joseph T Wu, Benjamin J Cowling, Gabriel M Leung
Euro Surveillance: Bulletin Européen sur les Maladies Transmissibles, European Communicable Disease Bulletin 2020, 25 (3)
31992388
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9-32%).

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