Association Between Family History and Early-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Across Racial and Ethnic Groups.

Importance: There is a genetic predisposition to early-onset atrial fibrillation (EOAF) in European American individuals. However, the role of family history in the pathogenesis of EOAF in racial and ethnic minorities remains unclear.

Objective: To determine whether probands with EOAF across racial and ethnic groups have a higher rate of AF in first-degree family members than racially and ethnically matched control patients with non-early-onset AF (non-EOAF).

Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cohort study, patients prospectively enrolled in a clinical and genetic biorepository were administered baseline questionnaires that included questions about family history of AF. Early-onset AF was defined as AF occurring in probands aged 60 years or younger in the absence of structural heart disease. All other forms were categorized as non-EOAF. Recruitment took place from July 2015 to December 2017. Analysis was performed in January 2018.

Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary analysis of reported family history of AF in first-degree relatives with sensitivity analysis restricted to those in whom a family history was confirmed by medical record review and electrocardiogram.

Results: Of 664 patients enrolled (mean [SD] age, 62 [12] years; 407 [61%] male), 267 (40%) were European American; 258 (39%), African American; and 139 (21%), Hispanic/Latino. There was a family history of AF in 36 probands with EOAF (49%) compared with 128 patients with non-EOAF (22%) (difference, 27%; 95% CI, 14%-40%; P < .001). On multivariable analysis, the adjusted odds of a proband with EOAF who was of African descent (odds ratio [OR], 2.69; 95% CI, 1.06-6.91; P < .001) or Hispanic descent (OR, 9.25; 95% CI, 2.37-36.23; P = .002) having a first-degree relative with AF were greater than those of European descent (OR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.29-4.87; P = .006). Overall, probands with EOAF were more likely to have a first-degree relative with AF compared with patients with non-EOAF (adjusted OR, 3.02; 95% CI, 1.82-4.95; P < .001) across the 3 racial and ethnic groups. Atrial fibrillation in a first-degree family member was confirmed in 32% of probands with EOAF vs 11% of those with non-EOAF (difference, 21%; 95% CI, 11%-33%; P < .001). Furthermore, African American (28% vs 5%; difference, 23%; 95% CI, 4%-43%; P = .001), European American (35% vs 20%; difference, 15%; 95% CI, 1%-30%; P = .03), and Hispanic/Latino (30% vs 5%; difference, 25%; 95% CI, 4%-54%; P = .02) probands with EOAF were more likely to have a first-degree relative with confirmed AF vs racially and ethnically matched control patients with non-EOAF. The positive and negative predictive values for a family history of confirmed AF were both 89%.

Conclusions and Relevance: Probands of African or Hispanic/Latino descent with EOAF were more likely to have a first-degree relative with AF when compared with European American individuals. These findings support genetic predisposition to EOAF across all 3 races.