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Impact of Physical Activity by Older People on Long-Term Care Cost Projections in Poland.

In this study, we investigate whether higher physical activity of older people dampens increases in public expenditure, particularly the costs of long-term care. In our estimations, we refer to the projections of long-term care costs in Poland, published by the European Commission. Using the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) database, we calculate disability rates based on physical activity performed. Our results suggest that disability rates are significantly lower for older people who are physically active, and the promotion of physical activity in Polish society may significantly reduce future budgetary burden connected with population aging.

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