Cost savings of implementing the SickKids Paediatric Orthopaedic Pathway for proximal humerus fractures in Ontario, Canada.

Background: The SickKids Paediatric Orthopaedic Pathway (SKPOP) for proximal humerus fractures may safely reduce the number of radiographs and follow-up assessments for children with these injuries. The study objective was to examine potential cost-savings of the SKPOP from the perspective of the Ministry of Health and Long-term Care (MOHLTC).

Methods: Two sets of resource profiles, based on direct health care costs were created for a cohort of patients treated at our institution: the first based on actual follow-up assessment values, and the other based on follow-up assessments according to the SKPOP. Differences between the two profiles represent potential cost-savings. A decision-analysis and associated probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed.

Results: In a cohort of 239 patients treated between 2009 and 2014, 92.9% (222) would have met SKPOP eligibility. Management according to this pathway would have reduced orthopaedic assessments and shoulder radiograph series by 83.6% (470/562) and 70.8% (367/589), respectively. For the cohort examined, a potential cost-savings of $30,040.56 ($135.32/patient) was observed. A PSA, accounting for variable SKPOP adherence and health care utilization, yielded cost-savings in 96.5% of the iterations run through the decision-analysis model and an average cost-savings of $57.82/patient. Based on these results and the annual provincial incidence rate of eligible patients (n=575), the MOHLTC could potentially save $33,249.45 annually with province-wide implementation.

Conclusions: Implementation of the SKPOP for a cohort of patients managed at our institution could have resulted in cost-savings due to substantial reductions in health care utilization. Cost-savings are likely to occur with provincial implementation of the SKPOP for proximal humerus fractures.