Diameter of inflow as a predictor of radiocephalic fistula flow.

INTRODUCTION:: The optimal method for vascular access surveillance is largely unknown. A previous case-control study suggested a simplified anatomical measure obtained by Doppler ultrasound-the narrowest segment of the circuit or "minimal luminal diameter" may identify patients with a dysfunctional radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula. The relationship between minimal luminal diameter and access flow (Qa) in the radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula has not previously been studied.

METHODS:: Patients undergoing Doppler ultrasound of a radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula over an 8-month period were identified retrospectively. Minimal luminal diameter was identified and demographic and clinical data were collected. Qa was estimated by Doppler estimation of brachial artery flow. The relationship between minimal luminal diameter and Qa was examined by correlation and using different levels of minimal luminal diameter as a simplified measure to detect or exclude low Qa (<600 mL/min).

RESULTS:: A total of 81 Doppler ultrasound scans were performed. In all, 26 scans demonstrated brachial artery flow <600 mL/min. Simple logistic regression indicated a weak statistical relationship between the minimal luminal diameter and Qa (R2  = 0.27, p < 0.01). Minimal luminal diameter performed poorly as a marker of low Qa with low specificity, however, showed high negative predictive value for ruling out low Qa at a minimal luminal diameter of 3.2 mm or higher (94%). Qa estimated by brachial artery flow correlated well with Qa estimated by indicator dilution (R2  = 0.83, p < 0.01) without significant mean difference or proportional bias.

CONCLUSION:: Minimal luminal diameter correlates weakly with Qa. Low minimal luminal diameter values should not be used in isolation to determine low Qa for a radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula. Conversely, minimal luminal diameter >3.2 mm largely excludes a low-flow radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula in this cohort. Brachial artery flow is a reasonable measure of Qa in comparison with indicator dilution.