Re-engineering the interpretation of electronic fetal monitoring to identify reversible risk for cerebral palsy: a case control series.

BACKGROUND: Even key opinion leaders now concede that electronic fetal monitoring (EFM) cannot reliably identify fetal acidemia which many vouch as the only labor mediated pathophysiologic precursor for cerebral palsy (CP). We have developed the "Fetal Reserve Index" - an algorithm combining five dynamic components of EFM (1. Rate, 2. Variability, 3. Accelerations, 4. Decelerations, and 5. Excessive uterine activity) considered individually that are combined with the presence of: 6. maternal, 7. obstetrical, and 8. fetal risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: Here, we compare this 8-point fetal reserve index (FRI) against the performance of ACOG monograph criteria and ACOG Category systems for predicting risk for both CP and the need for emergency operative delivery (EOD). We then studied how varied management for screen positives (Red zone-defined below) impacts the outcome of such cases.

STUDY DESIGN: Four hundred twenty term patients were studied: all entered labor with normal EFMs and no apparent cause of harm except events of labor and delivery. Sixty subsequently developed CP, and 360 were apparently normal controls. An FRI, normal on all eight parameters scored 100%, 4 of the 8 was 50%, etc. We divided cases into Green zone >50%, Yellow 50-26%, and Red ≤25%. An FRI in the Red zone was considered a positive screen. We then compared performance metrics for the three evaluation schemes and differences between controls that reached Red against those controls whose worst scores were Green/Yellow.

RESULTS: For detection of injury during labor, the FRI performed much better than the ACOG Category criteria (sensitivity 28%), and Category III (45%) (p < .001). All CP cases reached Red zone and were Red for a minimum of 2 hours (mean = 5.35 hours). Twenty-four% of controls reached Red, but were only Red for average of 1 hr. The incidence of low Apgar's, pH, FRI, and Lowest FRI increased progressively from Green/Yellow controls to red controls to CP cases. Irrespective, CP cases met ACOG Monograph criteria for labor injury less than 50% of the time. Only half of CP babies had umbilical artery pH values <7.00, and less than 50% showed Category III patterns. The earlier in labor the Red zone was reached, the more likely for a baby to develop CP or the mother to require an EOD regardless of fetal outcome. Successful intrauterine resuscitations (IR) diminished time spent in the Red zone and the need for EODs.

CONCLUSIONS: FRI shows better discrimination for adverse fetal outcome and EOD than traditional EFM interpretation. The Category system is a very poor, subjective screening method as the vast majority of CP babies never reach the "action point" result of Category III. While reaching the Red zone does not ordain a bad outcome, how it is managed, does. Compared to CP cases, Red controls were delivered faster, had higher FRIs, and often had prompt management including IR maneuvers, which improved the FRI and lowered the risk of EODs even for cases with normal outcomes. With further study and validation, the quantitative FRI approach may replace the current, very subjective interpretation with a quantitative "lab test" approach.