OPEN IN READ APP
JOURNAL ARTICLE

Seasonal variations of temperature-related mortality burden from cardiovascular disease and myocardial infarction in China

Jun Yang, Maigeng Zhou, Chun-Quan Ou, Peng Yin, Mengmeng Li, Shilu Tong, Antonio Gasparrini, Xiaobo Liu, Jing Li, Lina Cao, Haixia Wu, Qiyong Liu
Environmental Pollution 2017, 224: 400-406
28222981
Incidence rate of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has significant seasonal trend, being higher in winter. However, the extent to which the seasonal variation of CVD deaths was caused by temperature remains unclear. We obtained daily data on temperature and CVD and myocardial infarction (MI) mortality from nine Chinese mega-cities during 2007-2013. Distributed lag non-linear models were applied to assess the city-specific temperature-related daily excess deaths across lag 0-21 days, using the minimum-mortality temperature as reference. Then, estimates of excess deaths in four seasons were separately aggregated from the daily series, and its ratio to the corresponding total deaths produced seasonal attributable fraction (AF). In total, 1,079,622 CVD and 201,897 MI deaths were recorded in the nine Chinese cities. Significant and non-linear associations between temperature and mortality were observed, with a total of 195,516 CVD and 50,658 MI deaths attributable to non-optimum temperatures. 103,439 (95% empirical CI: 54,475-141,537) CVD and 24,613 (5891-36,279) MI deaths related to non-optimum temperature occurred in winter, compared with 15,923 (1436-28,853) and 4946 (-325-9016) in summer. Temperature-related AFs were higher among MI than CVD, with AFs of 42% (9-62%) and 35% (19-48%) in winter, and 13% (-1-23%) and 8% (1-14%) in summer, respectively. This study may have important implications for developing effective targeted intervention measures on CVD events.

Comments

You need to log in or sign up for an account to be able to comment.

No comments yet, be the first to post one!

Related Papers

Available on the App Store

Available on the Play Store
Remove bar
Read by QxMD icon Read
28222981
×

Search Tips

Use Boolean operators: AND/OR

diabetic AND foot
diabetes OR diabetic

Exclude a word using the 'minus' sign

Virchow -triad

Use Parentheses

water AND (cup OR glass)

Add an asterisk (*) at end of a word to include word stems

Neuro* will search for Neurology, Neuroscientist, Neurological, and so on

Use quotes to search for an exact phrase

"primary prevention of cancer"
(heart or cardiac or cardio*) AND arrest -"American Heart Association"