Predictors of operative failure in parathyroidectomy for primary hyperparathyroidism.

INTRODUCTION: Many adjuncts guide surgical decision making in parathyroidectomy, yet their independent associations with outcome are poorly characterized. We examined a broad range of perioperative factors and used multivariate techniques to identify independent predictors of operative failure (persistent disease) after parathyroidectomy.

METHODS: This was a retrospective review of 2239 patients with primary hyperparathyroidism who underwent parathyroidectomy at a single-center from 1999 to 2014. We used multivariate logistic regress to measure associations between multiple perioperative factors and an operative failure (persistent hypercalcemia).

RESULTS: Operative failure was identified in 67 patients (3.0%). The following variables were independently associated with operative failure on multivariate analysis: IOPTH criteria met (protective, OR = 0.22, P < 0.001), preoperative calcium (risk factor, OR = 2.27 per unit increase, P < 0.001), weight of excised gland(s) (protective, OR = 0.70 per two-fold increase, P = 0.003), and preoperative PTH (protective, OR = 0.55 per two-fold increase, P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION: In addition to the well-established IOPTH criteria, we suggest that consideration of the above independent perioperative risk factors may further inform surgical decision-making in parathyroidectomy.