Low Circulating Levels of Growth Differentiation Factor-15 Before Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery May Predict Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the role of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) as a potential new predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after off-pump (OFP) and on-pump (ONP) coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery.

DESIGN: Prospective, single-center, observational study.

SETTING: University teaching hospital.

PARTICIPANTS: The first 50 patients planned for OFP surgery and the first 50 patients planned for ONP surgery among patients referred for CABG with the following exclusion criteria: age<18 or>80 years, previous atrial fibrillation/flutter, previous treatment with amiodarone, previous cardiac surgery, and emergency surgery.

INTERVENTIONS: Included patients were equipped with long-duration (7 days) Holter-ECG monitoring.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: POAF was defined as an AF episode lasting>30 seconds. All patients underwent preoperative echocardiography to assess left ventricular ejection fraction and left atrial diameter. GDF-15 levels were assessed after induction of anesthesia and 12 hours after arrival at the intensive care unit. Among the 100 patients, 34 (34%) developed POAF. In Cox multivariate regression analysis, the EuroSCORE, left atrial diameter>45 mm, and low GDF-15 levels at induction were associated independently with the onset of POAF. In contrast, preoperative NT-proBNP levels did not predict POAF. The use of ONP surgery was not associated with a higher incidence of POAF, even though baseline and follow-up characteristics in ONP and OFP patients were identical.

CONCLUSIONS: In patients with no history of AF, a low plasma level of GDF-15 before CABG surgery was a strong independent predictor of POAF. Moreover, preoperative plasma GDF-15 levels added an incremental predictive value to classic risk factors of POAF.