Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates: screening by fetal biometry at 35-37 weeks.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the value of fetal biometry at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates, in the absence of pre-eclampsia (PE).

METHODS: This was a screening study in singleton pregnancies at 35-37 weeks' gestation, comprising 278 that delivered SGA neonates with a birth weight < 5th percentile and 5237 cases unaffected by SGA, PE or gestational hypertension. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if screening by a combination of maternal factors and Z-scores of fetal head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur length (FL) or estimated fetal weight (EFW) had a significant contribution to the prediction of SGA neonates.

RESULTS: Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the likelihood of delivering a SGA neonate with a birth weight < 5th percentile decreased with maternal weight and height, and in parous women the risk increased with a longer interpregnancy interval. The risk was higher in women of Afro-Caribbean and South Asian racial origins, in cigarette smokers, nulliparous women and in those with history of SGA, with or without prior PE. Combined screening by maternal characteristics and history with EFW Z-scores at 35-37 weeks predicted 89% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 5th percentile delivering < 2 weeks following assessment, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR). The respective detection rate for the prediction of SGA neonates delivering ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was 70%. The performance of screening by a combination of Z-scores of fetal HC, AC and FL was similar to that achieved by the EFW Z-score.

CONCLUSION: Combined testing by maternal characteristics and fetal biometry at 35-37 weeks could identify, at a 10% FPR, about 90% of pregnancies that subsequently deliver SGA neonates within 2 weeks of assessment and 70% of those that deliver ≥ 37 weeks.