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Sinus rhythm restoration and arrhythmia noninducibility are major predictors of arrhythmia-free outcome after ablation for long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of restoring sinus rhythm (SR) by initial ablation in patients with long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation (LSPAF) is not fully established.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of SR restoration at the initial procedure and arrhythmia noninducibility at the final repeat procedure for long-term outcome.

METHODS: A total of 203 patients (22% female; age 59 ± 9 years) underwent stepwise catheter ablation for LSPAF.

RESULTS: The procedural end-point of SR restoration was achieved in 50% of patients. During follow-up (median 48 months) and after 1.7 procedures per patient, 72% of patients were free from arrhythmia off antiarrhythmic drugs. Failure to restore SR was independently predicted by left atrial (LA) long-axis diameter ≥68 mm (relative risk [RR] 1.55, P = .03], proportion of high-voltage LA sites <20% (RR 1.62, P = .02), and left atrial appendage (LAA) atrial fibrillation cycle length (AFCL) <155 ms (RR 1.5, P = .05). Arrhythmia recurrence after the initial procedure was predicted by SR nonrestoration (RR 2.99, P <.000001) and LAA AFCL ≥155 ms (RR 1.90, P = .0002). Arrhythmia recurrence after the final procedure was predicted by SR nonrestoration at the initial procedure (RR 2.83, P = .0007), persistent AF duration ≥24 months (RR 2.74, P = .002), LAA outflow velocity <40 cm/s (RR 2.21, P = .006), and LAA AFCL ≥155 ms (RR 1.92, P = .02). In 115 patients with repeat procedure(s), failure to achieve arrhythmia noninducibility at the final procedure (19% of patients) was associated with arrhythmia recurrence (RR 8.9, P < .000001).

CONCLUSION: SR restoration at the initial procedure and arrhythmia noninducibility at the last repeat procedure were major predictors of arrhythmia-free outcome after ablation for LSPAF.

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