Early repolarization as a predictor of arrhythmic and nonarrhythmic cardiac events in middle-aged subjects.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization (ER) in the inferior/lateral leads predicts mortality, but whether ER is a specific sign of increased risk for arrhythmic events is not known.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to study the association of ER and arrhythmic events and nonarrhythmic morbidity and mortality.

METHODS: We assessed the prognostic significance of ER in a community-based general population of 10,846 middle-aged subjects (mean age 44 ± 8 years). The end-points were sustained ventricular tachycardia or resuscitated ventricular fibrillation (VT-VF), arrhythmic death, nonarrhythmic cardiac death, new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF), hospitalization for congestive heart failure, or coronary artery disease during mean follow-up of 30 ± 11 years. ER was defined as ≥0.1-mV elevation of J point in either inferior or lateral leads.

RESULTS: After including all risk factors of cardiac mortality and morbidity in Cox regression analysis, inferior ER (prevalence 3.5%) predicted VF-VT events (n = 108 [1.0%]) with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-4.5, P = .03) but not nonarrhythmic cardiac death (n = 1235 [12.2%]), AF (n = 1659 [15.2%]), congestive heart failure (n = 1752 [16.1%]), or coronary artery disease (n = 3592 [32.9%]) (P = NS for all). Inferior ER predicted arrhythmic death in cases without other QRS complex abnormalities (multivariate HR 1.68, 95 % CI 1.10-2.58, P = .02) but not in those with ER and other coexisting abnormalities in QRS morphology (HR 1.30, 95% CI 0.86-1.96, P = .22).

CONCLUSION: ER in the inferior leads, especially in cases without other QRS complex abnormalities, predicts the occurrence of VT-VF but not nonarrhythmic cardiac events, suggesting that ER is a specific sign of increased vulnerability to ventricular tachyarrhythmias.