JOURNAL ARTICLE
MULTICENTER STUDY

Validation of the DRAGON score in 12 stroke centers in anterior and posterior circulation

Daniel Strbian, David J Seiffge, Lorenz Breuer, Heikki Numminen, Patrik Michel, Atte Meretoja, Skye Coote, Régis Bordet, Victor Obach, Bruno Weder, Simon Jung, Valeria Caso, Sami Curtze, Jyrki Ollikainen, Philippe A Lyrer, Ashraf Eskandari, Heinrich P Mattle, Angel Chamorro, Didier Leys, Christopher Bladin, Stephen M Davis, Martin Köhrmann, Stefan T Engelter, Turgut Tatlisumak
Stroke; a Journal of Cerebral Circulation 2013, 44 (10): 2718-21
23929752

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The DRAGON score predicts functional outcome in the hyperacute phase of intravenous thrombolysis treatment of ischemic stroke patients. We aimed to validate the score in a large multicenter cohort in anterior and posterior circulation.

METHODS: Prospectively collected data of consecutive ischemic stroke patients who received intravenous thrombolysis in 12 stroke centers were merged (n=5471). We excluded patients lacking data necessary to calculate the score and patients with missing 3-month modified Rankin scale scores. The final cohort comprised 4519 eligible patients. We assessed the performance of the DRAGON score with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the whole cohort for both good (modified Rankin scale score, 0-2) and miserable (modified Rankin scale score, 5-6) outcomes.

RESULTS: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.84 (0.82-0.85) for miserable outcome and 0.82 (0.80-0.83) for good outcome. Proportions of patients with good outcome were 96%, 93%, 78%, and 0% for 0 to 1, 2, 3, and 8 to 10 score points, respectively. Proportions of patients with miserable outcome were 0%, 2%, 4%, 89%, and 97% for 0 to 1, 2, 3, 8, and 9 to 10 points, respectively. When tested separately for anterior and posterior circulation, there was no difference in performance (P=0.55); areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.84 (0.83-0.86) and 0.82 (0.78-0.87), respectively. No sex-related difference in performance was observed (P=0.25).

CONCLUSIONS: The DRAGON score showed very good performance in the large merged cohort in both anterior and posterior circulation strokes. The DRAGON score provides rapid estimation of patient prognosis and supports clinical decision-making in the hyperacute phase of stroke care (eg, when invasive add-on strategies are considered).

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