Growth differentiation factor-15 as a prognostic marker in patients with acute myocardial infarction

Sohail Q Khan, Kelvin Ng, Onkar Dhillon, Dominic Kelly, Paulene Quinn, Iain B Squire, Joan E Davies, Leong L Ng
European Heart Journal 2009, 30 (9): 1057-65

AIMS: Our aim was to assess the long-term prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) in patients post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Growth differentiation factor-15 is a member of the transforming growth factor beta family. Growth differentiation factor-15 is expressed in the myocardium and upregulated due to 'stress' and has been shown to have antiapoptotic actions. Its role in the cardiovascular system however is not well defined. We were interested to see if GDF-15 could provide long-term prognostic value in post-AMI patients. We compared GDF-15 with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited 1142 consecutive post-AMI patients [820 men, median (range) age 67 (24-97) years] in a prospective study with a follow-up period of 505 (range 1-2837) days. Growth differentiation factor-15 levels increased with increasing Killip class (P < 0.001) and were correlated with NT-proBNP (r = 0.47, P < 0.001). Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, log GDF-15 (HR 1.77), log NT-proBNP (HR 2.06), age (HR 1.03) Killip class above 1, (HR 1.62), use of beta-blockers (HR 0.54) and past history of MI (HR 1.44) were significant independent predictors of death or heart failure (HF). Predictors of death were log NT-proBNP, log GDF-15, age, eGFR, past history of MI, use of beta-blockers, and use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers. The C-statistic for GDF-15 for predicting death or HF at 1 year was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.76, P < 0.001) and was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.70-0.80, P < 0.001) for NT-proBNP. Combining these markers yielded an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.85), which exceeded that of GDF-15 (P < 0.001) and NT-proBNP (P = 0.004) alone. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that those patients with above median GDF-15 and NT-proBNP had the highest event rate for death and HF (log rank 50.22, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Growth differentiation factor-15 is a new marker for predicting death and HF in post-AMI patients. GDF-15 provides prognostic information over and above clinical factors and the established biomarker NT-proBNP. Combined levels of GDF-15 with NT-proBNP can identify a high-risk group of patients.

Full Text Links

Find Full Text Links for this Article


You are not logged in. Sign Up or Log In to join the discussion.

Related Papers

Remove bar
Read by QxMD icon Read

Search Tips

Use Boolean operators: AND/OR

diabetic AND foot
diabetes OR diabetic

Exclude a word using the 'minus' sign

Virchow -triad

Use Parentheses

water AND (cup OR glass)

Add an asterisk (*) at end of a word to include word stems

Neuro* will search for Neurology, Neuroscientist, Neurological, and so on

Use quotes to search for an exact phrase

"primary prevention of cancer"
(heart or cardiac or cardio*) AND arrest -"American Heart Association"