Prediction of preterm birth by second trimester cervical sonography in twin pregnancies.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the predictive value of sonographic cervical length and of funneling for spontaneous preterm delivery (PTD) in twin pregnancies under 26 weeks' gestation.

METHODS: Women with twin pregnancies were studied prospectively with transvaginal or translabial ultrasound of the cervix from 18 to 26 weeks' gestation. Exclusion criteria were: signs of preterm labor, prophylactic cervical cerclage, placenta previa, or severe congenital fetal anomaly. The primary outcome was spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks' gestation.

RESULTS: Sixty-five twin pregnancies were analyzed, of which 23% (15/65) delivered preterm. Cervical ultrasound examination was performed by 22 weeks' gestation in 75% and by 24 weeks' gestation in 91% of women. Cervical length < or = 25 mm and < or = 30 mm was associated with sensitivities of 27% and 53%, respectively, and with 67% and 62% rates of PTD, respectively (R.R. 4.6, C.I. 2.0-10.3 and R.R. 3.6, C.I. 1.6-7.8, respectively). A cervical length > 35 mm was associated with only a 4% rate of PTD (R.R 0.13; C.I. 0.02-0.93). Of 10 women (15%) with any cervical funneling, 70% delivered preterm, all under 32 weeks' gestation. By logistic regression analysis, both short cervix < or = 30 mm and any funneling were strongly predictive of PTD.

CONCLUSIONS: Both cervical length < or = 30 mm and cervical funneling in twin pregnancies under 26 weeks' gestation are independently and strongly associated with high risk for preterm birth. A long cervix, of length > 35 mm, is associated with very low risk (4%) for preterm birth.