Rita Cordeiro, Constantino P Caetano, Daniel Sobral, Rita Ferreira, Luís Coelho, Ana Pelerito, Isabel Lopes de Carvalho, Sónia Namorado, Dinis B Loyens, Ricardo Mexia, Cândida Fernandes, José Miguel Neves, Ana Luísa João, Miguel Rocha, Luís Miguel Duque, Inês Correia, Teresa Baptista, Cláudia Brazão, Diogo Sousa, Paulo Filipe, Miguel Alpalhão, Fernando Maltez, Diana Póvoas, Raquel Pinto, João Caria, Rita Patrocínio de Jesus, Patrícia Pacheco, Francesca Peruzzu, Josefina Méndez, Luís Ferreira, Kamal Mansinho, João Vaz Alves, Joana Vasconcelos, João Domingos, Sara Casanova, Frederico Duarte, Maria João Gonçalves, Mafalda Brito Salvador, Mafalda Andresen Guimarães, Sueila Martins, Marvin Silva Oliveira, Daniela Santos, Luís Vieira, Maria Sofia Núncio, Vítor Borges, João Paulo Gomes
In 2023, a second wave of the global mpox epidemic, which is mainly affecting men who have sex with men (MSM), was observed in some countries. Herein, we benefited from a large viral sequence sampling (76/121; 63%) and vast epidemiological data to characterise the re-emergence and circulation of the Monkeypox virus (MPXV) in Portugal during 2023. We also modelled transmission and forecasted public health scenarios through a compartmental susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model. Our results suggest that the 2023 mpox wave in Portugal resulted from limited introduction(s) of MPXV belonging to C...
October 3, 2024: Emerging Microbes & Infections