Health Services & Outcomes Research Methodology

Opposition to Universal Basic Income (UBI) is encapsulated by Martinelli's claim that 'an affordable basic income would be inadequate, and an adequate basic income would be unaffordable'. In this article, we present a model of health impact that transforms that assumption. We argue that UBI can affect higher level social determinants of health down to individual determinants of health and on to improvements in public health that lead to a number of economic returns on investment. Given that no trial has been designed and deployed with that impact in mind, we present a methodological framework for assessing prospective costs and returns on investment through modelling to make the case for that trial...

Weighted estimators are commonly used for estimating exposure effects in observational settings to establish causal relations. These estimators have a long history of development when the exposure of interest is binary and where the weights are typically functions of an estimated propensity score. Recent developments in optimization-based estimators for constructing weights in binary exposure settings, such as those based on entropy balancing, have shown more promise in estimating treatment effects than those methods that focus on the direct estimation of the propensity score using likelihood-based methods...

Opioid misuse is a significant public health issue and a national epidemic with a high prevalence of associated morbidity and mortality. The epidemic is particularly severe in Ohio which has some of the highest overdose rates in the country. It is important to understand spatial and temporal trends of the opioid epidemic to learn more about areas that are most affected and to inform potential community interventions and resource allocation. We propose a multivariate spatio-temporal model to leverage existing surveillance measures, opioid-associated deaths and treatment admissions, to learn about the underlying epidemic for counties in Ohio...

Opioid-related mortality increased by nearly 400% between 2000 and 2018. In response, federal, state, and local governments have enacted a heterogeneous collection of opioid-related policies in an effort to reverse the opioid crisis, producing a policy landscape that is both complex and dynamic. Correspondingly, there has been a rise in opioid-policy related evaluation studies, as policymakers and other stakeholders seek to understand which policies are most effective. In this paper, we provide an overview of methodological challenges facing opioid policy researchers when evaluating the effects of opioid policies using observational data, as well as some potential solutions to those challenges...

First introduced in early 2000s, the accountable care organization (ACO) is designed to lower health care costs while improving quality of care and has become one of the most important coordinated care technologies in the United States. In this research, we use the Medicare fee-for-service claims data from 2009-2014 to estimate the heterogeneous effects of Medicare ACO programs on hospital admissions across hospital referral regions (HRRs) and provider groups. To conduct our analysis, a model for a difference-in-difference (DID) study is embellished in multiple ways to account for intricacies and complexity with the data not able to be accounted for using existing models...

While record linkage can expand analyses performable from survey microdata, it also incurs greater risk of privacy-encroaching disclosure. One way to mitigate this risk is to replace some of the information added through linkage with synthetic data elements. This paper describes a case study using the National Hospital Care Survey (NHCS), which collects patient records under a pledge of protecting patient privacy from a sample of U.S. hospitals for statistical analysis purposes. The NHCS data were linked to the National Death Index (NDI) to enhance the survey with mortality information...

No abstract text is available yet for this article.

As healthcare costs continue to increase, studies assessing costs are becoming increasingly common, but researchers planning for studies that measure costs differences (savings) encounter a lack of literature or consensus among researchers on what constitutes "small" or "large" cost savings for common measures of resource use.  Other fields of research have developed approaches to solve this type of problem. Researchers measuring improvement in quality of life or clinical assessments have defined minimally important differences (MID) which are then used to define magnitudes when planning studies...

An interrupted time series with a parallel control group (ITS-CG) design is a powerful quasi-experimental design commonly used to evaluate the effectiveness of an intervention, on accelerating uptake of useful public health products, and can be used in the presence of regularly collected data. This paper illustrates how a segmented Poisson model that utilizes general estimating equations (GEE) can be used for the ITS-CG study design to evaluate the effectiveness of a complex social accountability intervention on the level and rate of uptake of modern contraception...

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies aim to explore the interaction between subjects' psychological states and real environmental factors. During the EMA studies, participants can receive prompted assessments intensively across days and within each day, which results in three-level longitudinal data, e.g., subject-level (level-3), day-level nested in subject (level-2) and assessment-level nested in each day (level-1). Those three-level data may exhibit complex longitudinal correlation structure but ignoring or mis-specifying the within-subject correlation structure can lead to bias on the estimation of the key effects and the intraclass correlation...

Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are the leading causes of mortality and morbidity across the world and factors influencing global poverty and slowing economic development. We summarize how the potential power of real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE) can be harnessed to help address the disease burden of NCDs at global, national, regional and local levels. RWE is essential to understand the epidemiology of NCDs, quantify NCD burdens, assist with the early detection of vulnerable populations at high risk of NCDs by identifying the most influential risk factors, and evaluate the effectiveness and cost-benefits of treatments, programs, and public policies for NCDs...

In the United States the number of health systems that own practices or hospitals have increased in number and complexity leading to interest in assessing the relationship between health organization factors and health outcomes. However, the existence of multiple types of organizations combined with the nesting of some hospitals and practices within health systems and the nesting of some health systems within larger health systems generates numerous analytic objectives and complicates the construction of optimal survey designs...

Men engaging in reproductive coercion may coerce, force, or deceive female partners into pregnancy. This study evaluates whether the 3-month incidence of pregnancy is higher among women reporting reproductive coercion than similar women reporting no reproductive coercion. We tested this hypothesis in longitudinal data from a sample of African-American women ages 18-24 recruited from community settings in Atlanta, Georgia, US, in 2012-2014 (n = 560). Participants were surveyed at baseline, 3 months, 6 months, 9 months, and 12 months...

At the 2020 International Conference on Health Policy Statistics held in San Diego, Thomas (Tom) R. Belin was awarded the Long-Term Excellence Award from the Health Policy Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. Dr. Belin was exceptionally and uniquely qualified for this award. Highlights include his innovative statistical applications for health care research and his substantial contributions to the statistics and health policy communities through mentoring and service. In this interview, we asked Tom to share stories about his upbringing, schooling, and career phases to gain insights into his numerous achievements...

Researchers, healthcare providers, and policy makers have become increasingly interested in the cost and quality effects of vertical integration (VI) between hospitals and physicians. However, tracking VI is often financially costly. Because the Medicare Data on Provider Practice and Specialty (MD-PPAS) annual dataset may be more cost-effective for researchers to access than private data sources, we examine the accuracy of MD-PPAS in identifying VI by comparing it to physician and hospital affiliations reported in Blue Cross Blue Shield Texas (BCBSTX) PPO claims data for 2014-2016...

To generate a Hospital Medical Surge Preparedness Index that can be used to evaluate hospitals across the United States in regard to their capacity to handle patient surges during mass casualty events. Data from the American Hospital Association's annual survey, conducted from 2005 to 2014. Our sample comprised 6239 hospitals across all 50 states, with an annual average of 5769 admissions. An extensive review of the American Hospital Association survey was conducted and relevant variables applicable to hospital inpatient services were extracted...

Difference-in-differences (DID) is a popular approach in observational and quasi-experimental studies to estimate the effects of a treatment with discrete statuses. In many studies, however, the treatment can have a range of dosages or exposure levels. In our paper, "medical homeness" is a semi-continuous score ranging from 0 to 100 to indicate the extent to which a patient-centered medical home model is achieved. We developed a causal DID approach to estimating the effects of a treatment with semi-continuous dosages...

Hospital readmission is a key metric of hospital quality, such as for comparing Veterans Affairs (VA) hospitals to private sector hospitals. To calculate readmission rates, one must first identify individual hospitalizations. However, in the VA Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), data are organized by "bedded stays," that is, any stay in a healthcare facility where a patient is provided a bed, not hospitalizations. Thus, CDW data poses several challenges to identifying hospitalizations including: (1) bedded stays include both non-acute inpatient stays (i...

Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey have been linked to the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services' Medicaid Enrollment and Claims Files for the survey years 1999-2004. The linked data are produced by the National Center for Health Statistics' (NCHS) Data Linkage Program and are available in the NCHS Research Data Center. This project compares the usefulness of multiple imputation to account for data linkage ineligibility and other survey nonresponse with currently recommended weight adjustment procedures...

While family purchase of health insurance may benefit insurance markets by pooling individual risk into family groups, the correlation across illness types in families could exacerbate adverse selection. We analyze the impact of family pooling on risk for health insurers to inform policy about family-level insurance plans. Using data on 8,927,918 enrollees in fee-for-service commercial health plans in the 2013 Truven MarketScan database, we compare the distribution of annual individual health spending across four pooling scenarios: (1) "Individual" where there is no pooling into families; (2) "real families" where costs are pooled within families; (3) "random groups" where costs are pooled within randomly generated small groups that mimic families in group size; and (4) "the Sims" where costs are pooled within random small groups which match families in demographics and size...